Inclus webinar: Geopolitical tensions — What risk professionals on both sides of the Atlantic need to know
In this fireside chat, Patrick Fruchet and Mikaeli Langinvainio explore how rapidly shifting geopolitical tensions are reshaping the operating environment for businesses in Europe and North America, and what this means in practice for risk management professionals.
Through concrete examples and real-world cases, the discussion connects geopolitical dynamics with enterprise risk management, helping risk professionals on both sides of the Atlantic translate political turbulence into actionable risk decisions.
📅 June 15th, 2026
🕒 8:30 – 9:30 AM ET (New York) | 14:30 – 15:30 CET | 15:30 – 16:30 EEST
Opening case: NVIDIA at the epicenter of geopolitical change
We kick off the session with NVIDIA as a live case study of what geopolitical risk looks like in practice (based on publicly available information only).
NVIDIA sits at the intersection of several geopolitical fault lines at once: their chips are the backbone of the global AI race, making them a strategic asset in US-China competition. They design in the US, but manufacture through TSMC in Taiwan — one of the most contested pieces of geography on the planet. And they sell globally, which means every shift in trade policy, export controls, or alliance dynamics lands directly on their bottom line.
We will walk through alternative scenarios for what the future might hold for NVIDIA.
Note: We're not here to predict what NVIDIA's future looks like; nobody can do that with confidence. What we're interested in is the analytical method: how do you use scenario planning to prepare for alternative futures when the operating environment is this uncertain? NVIDIA is a vivid example, but the approach applies to any company navigating geopolitical exposure.
A key distinction: geopolitical system vs. geopolitical order
One conceptual frame will anchor the whole discussion: The geopolitical system — sovereign states competing for power, the enduring logic of geography, the absence of a world government — does not change. It is the permanent backdrop of international politics.
The geopolitical order — the specific rules, institutions, alliances, and power arrangements built on top of that system — is a different matter. The post-WWII liberal international order is under serious strain. What we are witnessing is not the end of geopolitics; it is the rewriting of a particular order within the eternal system.
For risk professionals, this distinction is critical. Companies that treat the order as fixed will easily be blindsided.
Webinar agenda
The current state of transatlantic tensions — key fault lines and why change is outpacing traditional risk frameworks
What this means for your risk register — market access, supply chain, regulatory divergence, legal uncertainty
Real-world cases, opening with NVIDIA — based on public information sources only
Risk management strategies — scenario planning, stakeholder alignment, ERM integration
From awareness to preparedness — building resilience and supporting leadership decisions
This webinar is designed for risk management professionals, CROs, risk and compliance leaders, strategy advisors, and board members in companies operating across the Atlantic.
Welcome!
About the presenters
Patrick Fruchet
Patrick Fruchet is Fractional Chief Geopolitical Officer helping corporate leadership teams turn geopolitical complexity into governed business decisions.
His company Fruchet Consulting works with globally exposed businesses to identify strategic signals, assess operational and market exposure, structure scenarios, and translate geopolitical risk into board-ready choices. The focus is pragmatic: what matters, why it matters, what could change, and what leadership should do next.
Mikaeli Langinvainio
Mikaeli Langinvainio is the CEO and Co-Founder of Inclus Oy. He holds a Master's degree in Social Sciences (M.Soc.Sc.) with a focus on world politics, and specializes in foresight and risk methodology.
Mikaeli has over twenty years of experience in crisis management and peace mediation, with professional assignments in approximately 20 countries. For the past decade, he has led Inclus, providing organizations with advanced risk management and foresight services.